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Testing the random utility hypothesis directly

By: McCausland, William J. et al.
Material type: materialTypeLabelBookPublisher: The Economic Journal: A Journal of the Royal Economic Society Description: 130(625), Jan, 2020: p.183-207.Subject(s): Bayesian Analysis, Hypothesis Testing, Laboratory, Individual Behavior, Microeconomic Behavior: Underlying Principles In: The Economic Journal: A Journal of the Royal Economic SocietySummary: We test a set of inequalities in choice probabilities, shown to be necessary and sufficient for random utility by Falmagne (1978). We run an experiment in which each of 141 participants chooses six times from each doubleton or larger subset of a universe of five lotteries. We compute Bayes factors in favour of random utility, versus an alternative with unrestricted choice probabilities. There is strong evidence that a large majority of participants satisfy random utility; however, there is strong evidence against random utility for four participants. Results are fairly robust to the choice of prior. – Reproduced
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Articles Articles Indian Institute of Public Administration
130(625), Jan, 2020: p.183-207 Available AR124685

We test a set of inequalities in choice probabilities, shown to be necessary and sufficient for random utility by Falmagne (1978). We run an experiment in which each of 141 participants chooses six times from each doubleton or larger subset of a universe of five lotteries. We compute Bayes factors in favour of random utility, versus an alternative with unrestricted choice probabilities. There is strong evidence that a large majority of participants satisfy random utility; however, there is strong evidence against random utility for four participants. Results are fairly robust to the choice of prior. – Reproduced

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