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Sir, Yes, Sir! Hierarchy, coups and the political preferences of army officers

By: Fajardo, Gustavo.
Material type: materialTypeLabelBookPublisher: The Economic Journal: A journal of the Royal Economic Society Description: 130(629), Jul, 2020: p.1317-1345.Subject(s): Armed forces - Officers, Army - Officers, Defence In: The Economic Journal: A journal of the Royal Economic SocietySummary: I show that coups that break the chain of command polarise the military along hierarchical lines. I study an instance of Venezuelan history in which the political preferences of individual members of the army towards former coup leader Hugo Chávez became observable. Outranking Chávez at the time of the insubordination increases the probability of later opposing his presidency. Causal estimates rely on a fuzzy regression discontinuity design, where minimum time requirements for promotion in the army provide exogenous variation in the ranking of officers at the time of the coup. I discuss implications for the literature on civil–military relations. – Reproduced
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Articles Articles Indian Institute of Public Administration
130(629), Jul, 2020: p.1317-134 Available AR125363

I show that coups that break the chain of command polarise the military along hierarchical lines. I study an instance of Venezuelan history in which the political preferences of individual members of the army towards former coup leader Hugo Chávez became observable. Outranking Chávez at the time of the insubordination increases the probability of later opposing his presidency. Causal estimates rely on a fuzzy regression discontinuity design, where minimum time requirements for promotion in the army provide exogenous variation in the ranking of officers at the time of the coup. I discuss implications for the literature on civil–military relations. – Reproduced

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