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Stock market wealth and the real economy: A local labor market approach

By: Reich, G.C., Nenov, P.T. and Simsek, A.
Material type: materialTypeLabelBookPublisher: The American Economic Review Description: 111(5), May, 2021: p.1623-1657. In: The American Economic ReviewSummary: We provide evidence of the stock market consumption wealth effect by using a local labor market analysis. An increase in local stock wealth driven by aggregate stock prices increases local employment and payroll in nontradable industries and in total, with no effect on employment in tradable industries. In a model of geographic heterogeneity in stock wealth, these responses imply an MPC of 3.2 cents per year and that a 20 percent increase in stock valuations, unless countered by monetary policy, increases the aggregate labor bill by at least 1.7 percent and aggregate hours by at least 0.7 percent two years after the shock. – Reproduced
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Articles Articles Indian Institute of Public Administration
111(5), May, 2021: p.1623-1657 Available AR125634

We provide evidence of the stock market consumption wealth effect by using a local labor market analysis. An increase in local stock wealth driven by aggregate stock prices increases local employment and payroll in nontradable industries and in total, with no effect on employment in tradable industries. In a model of geographic heterogeneity in stock wealth, these responses imply an MPC of 3.2 cents per year and that a 20 percent increase in stock valuations, unless countered by monetary policy, increases the aggregate labor bill by at least 1.7 percent and aggregate hours by at least 0.7 percent two years after the shock. – Reproduced

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