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Oil, equities, and the zero lower bound

By: Datta, Deepa D. et al.
Material type: materialTypeLabelBookPublisher: American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics Description: 13(2), Apr, 2021: p.214-253.Subject(s): Oil and equity returns, Equity returns In: American Economic Journal: MacroeconomicsSummary: From late 2008 to 2014, oil and equity returns were more positively correlated than in other periods. In addition, we show that both oil and equity returns became more responsive to macroeconomic news. We provide empirical evidence that these changes resulted from the zero lower bound (ZLB) on nominal interest rates, consistent with the theoretical predictions of a model that includes the ZLB. Although the ZLB alters the economic environment in theory, supportive empirical evidence has been lacking. Our paper provides clear evidence of the ZLB altering the economic environment. – Reproduced
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Articles Articles Indian Institute of Public Administration
13(2), Apr, 2021: p.214-253 Available AR125636

From late 2008 to 2014, oil and equity returns were more positively correlated than in other periods. In addition, we show that both oil and equity returns became more responsive to macroeconomic news. We provide empirical evidence that these changes resulted from the zero lower bound (ZLB) on nominal interest rates, consistent with the theoretical predictions of a model that includes the ZLB. Although the ZLB alters the economic environment in theory, supportive empirical evidence has been lacking. Our paper provides clear evidence of the ZLB altering the economic environment. – Reproduced

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