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History dependence in the housing market

By: Bracke, Philippe and Tenreyro, Silvana.
Material type: materialTypeLabelBookPublisher: American Economic Journal Macroeconomics Description: 13(2), Apr, 2021: p.420-443.Subject(s): Housing market In: American Economic Journal MacroeconomicsSummary: Using data on the universe of housing transactions in England and Wales over a 20-year period, we document that sale prices and selling propensities are affected by house prices prevailing in the period in which properties were previously bought. Using administrative data on mortgages, we show that cognitive frictions explain most of the history dependence in sale prices, whereas credit frictions are more relevant for selling propensities. We corroborate our analysis with data on online house listings, and we estimate the impact of history dependence on the collapse and slow recovery of housing market activity in the postcrisis period. – Reproduced
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Articles Articles Indian Institute of Public Administration
13(2), Apr, 2021: p.420-443 Available AR125637

Using data on the universe of housing transactions in England and Wales over a 20-year period, we document that sale prices and selling propensities are affected by house prices prevailing in the period in which properties were previously bought. Using administrative data on mortgages, we show that cognitive frictions explain most of the history dependence in sale prices, whereas credit frictions are more relevant for selling propensities. We corroborate our analysis with data on online house listings, and we estimate the impact of history dependence on the collapse and slow recovery of housing market activity in the postcrisis period. – Reproduced

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