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Estimating poverty in India without expenditure data - a survey-to-survey imputation approach

By: Newhouse, David and Vyas, Pallavi.
Material type: materialTypeLabelBookPublisher: Economic and Political Weekly Description: 57(48), 26, Nov, 2022: p.34-43. In: Economic and Political WeeklySummary: This paper utilises the expenditure data from 2004–05, 2009–10, and 2011–12 to impute household expenditure into a survey of durable goods expenditure conducted in 2014–15. The model’s predictions are comparable to the World Bank’s current adjustment method for the rural areas but imply a slower rate of poverty reduction for urban areas. In two validation tests, using past data, three alternative model specifications perform worse than the preferred model. The analysis indicates that survey-to-survey imputation, when feasible, is a preferable alternative to the current method of adjusting survey-based poverty estimates to later years. – Reproduced
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Articles Articles Indian Institute of Public Administration
57(48), 26, Nov, 2022: p.34-43 Available AR127986

This paper utilises the expenditure data from 2004–05, 2009–10, and 2011–12 to impute household expenditure into a survey of durable goods expenditure conducted in 2014–15. The model’s predictions are comparable to the World Bank’s current adjustment method for the rural areas but imply a slower rate of poverty reduction for urban areas. In two validation tests, using past data, three alternative model specifications perform worse than the preferred model. The analysis indicates that survey-to-survey imputation, when feasible, is a preferable alternative to the current method of adjusting survey-based poverty estimates to later years. – Reproduced

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