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The missing intercept: a demand equivalence approach

By: Wolf, Christian K.
Material type: materialTypeLabelBookPublisher: The American Economic Review Description: 113(8), Aug, 2023: p.2232-2269. In: The American Economic ReviewSummary: I give conditions under which changes in private spending are accommodated in general equilibrium exactly like changes in aggregate fiscal expenditure. Under such demand equivalence, researchers can use time series evidence on fiscal multipliers to recover the general equilibrium "missing intercept" of shocks to private spending identified in the cross section. Through the lens of this theory, time series estimates of a fiscal multiplier around one suggest a missing intercept close to zero—an observation that I illustrate with an application to the 2008 tax rebates. I also discuss the robustness of this aggregation approach to plausible violations of demand equivalence.- Reproduced https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/aer.20211751
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Articles Articles Indian Institute of Public Administration
113(8), Aug, 2023: p.2232-2269 Available AR1300103

I give conditions under which changes in private spending are accommodated in general equilibrium exactly like changes in aggregate fiscal expenditure. Under such demand equivalence, researchers can use time series evidence on fiscal multipliers to recover the general equilibrium "missing intercept" of shocks to private spending identified in the cross section. Through the lens of this theory, time series estimates of a fiscal multiplier around one suggest a missing intercept close to zero—an observation that I illustrate with an application to the 2008 tax rebates. I also discuss the robustness of this aggregation approach to plausible violations of demand equivalence.- Reproduced

https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/aer.20211751

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