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World productivity: 1996–2014

By: Esfahani, M. G., Fernald, J.G. and Hobijn, B.
Material type: materialTypeLabelBookPublisher: American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics Description: 16(3), Jul, 2024: p.160-189.Subject(s): Total Factor Productivity (TFP), World Productivity Growth, Growth Accounting, Labor Reallocation, Country-Industry Analysis, Emerging Economies, Advanced Economies, Productivity Volatility, Post-2008 Decline, Markup Inclusion, Global Economic Trends, Structural Change In: American Economic Journal: MacroeconomicsSummary: This study applies a novel growth accounting framework to analyze global total factor productivity (TFP) trends from 1996 to 2014. It identifies four key findings: (1) world productivity growth is highly volatile year-to-year, largely due to labor reallocation across country-industries; (2) country-industry level productivity contributions remain relatively stable; (3) the rise of emerging economies offsets productivity slowdowns in advanced economies until 2008; and (4) post-2008, this offsetting effect fades, leading to a decline in global TFP growth. These insights remain consistent even when accounting for markups, offering a robust view of structural shifts in global productivity. Authors use a new growth accounting method to quantify the drivers of world total factor productivity (TFP) growth during 1996–2014 and uncover four main results. World productivity growth is volatile from year to year. This mainly reflects reallocation of labor across country-industries. The contribution of country-industry level productivity growth to world productivity is relatively constant over time. This constancy masks that the increased importance of emerging economies offsets a productivity slowdown in advanced economies. After 2008, this offsetting effect dissipated and world TFP growth declined. These conclusions are robust to the inclusion of markups in the analysis.- Reproduced https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/mac.20200480
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Articles Articles Indian Institute of Public Administration
16(3), Jul, 2024: p.160-189 Available AR132923

This study applies a novel growth accounting framework to analyze global total factor productivity (TFP) trends from 1996 to 2014. It identifies four key findings: (1) world productivity growth is highly volatile year-to-year, largely due to labor reallocation across country-industries; (2) country-industry level productivity contributions remain relatively stable; (3) the rise of emerging economies offsets productivity slowdowns in advanced economies until 2008; and (4) post-2008, this offsetting effect fades, leading to a decline in global TFP growth. These insights remain consistent even when accounting for markups, offering a robust view of structural shifts in global productivity. Authors use a new growth accounting method to quantify the drivers of world total factor productivity (TFP) growth during 1996–2014 and uncover four main results. World productivity growth is volatile from year to year. This mainly reflects reallocation of labor across country-industries. The contribution of country-industry level productivity growth to world productivity is relatively constant over time. This constancy masks that the increased importance of emerging economies offsets a productivity slowdown in advanced economies. After 2008, this offsetting effect dissipated and world TFP growth declined. These conclusions are robust to the inclusion of markups in the analysis.- Reproduced

https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/mac.20200480

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