01152nam a22001697a 4500 509566 509566 190514b ||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d Berton, Raul Magni 5563 Alternation through death: Is gerontocracy an equilibrium? 2018 p.975-988. According to minimalist theories of democracy, the reason why civil conflicts are less frequent in democracies is that opposition parties can reasonably expect to win the next elections: they then prefer to wait than to rebel. In dictatorships, waiting until the dictator dies is generally much costlier. This waiting time, however, is considerably shortened when the dictator is old. Therefore, the risk of domestic conflict should decrease along with the age of autocratic leaders. Based on 160 countries from 1960 to 2008, our empirical analysis shows that the leader’s age decreases the likelihood of violent rebellion in dictatorships, but not in democratic regimes. - Reproduced. Political leadership 5564 Panel, Sophie 5565 Political Research Quarterly Democracy ddc AR 0 0 ddc 0 0 383504 IIPA IIPA 2019-05-14 71(4), Dec, 2018: p.975-988. AR119721 2019-05-14 AR