Himanshu, Lanjouw, Peter and Schirmer, Philipp

Poverty decline in India after 2011–12: Bigger picture evidence - Economic & Political Weekly - 60(15), Apr 12, 2025: p.36-46

The absence of official poverty estimates after 2011–12 has led to a new debate about the recent evolution of poverty in India. Reviewing the existing estimates of consumption-based poverty after 2011–12, it is argued that a slowing of poverty reduction after 2011–12 is most likely. A variety of complementary indicators of poverty in India are assembled and probed, focusing on trends in aggregate income, as well as wages, earnings, and employment. Given the absence of a clear resolution to the vexed issues of non-comparability of consumption over time and space, choice of poverty lines and price deflators, a precise assessment of poverty decline remains pending. However, there are sufficient grounds for concern, and a doubling-down on poverty reduction efforts is clearly warranted.- Reproduced

https://www.epw.in/journal/2025/15/special-articles/poverty-decline-india-after-2011-12.html