01943nam a22001457a 4500 533761 533761 260616b ||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d Phillips, Jeremy et al 61269 Moving into danger? Embedding hazard modelling in a participatory workshop to support risk-sensitive urban development in Quito, Ecuador Environment & Urbanization 38(1), Apr, 2026: p.43-65 Urban development increasingly takes the form of expansion at the edge of cities, often resulting in development of locations with greater exposure to natural hazards, as exemplified in Quito, which has experienced one hazard event per 0.8 km2 of recent expansion. Predictive models of hazard impacts are thus important tools in planning, but their use can be limited by institutional technical capacity and data needs. In this paper, we present a trial approach of “just good enough” hazard modelling, using simplified but typical initial conditions and bold but reasonable parameterizations, to allow adequately realistic simulation of hazard events. This trial was run in a two-day participatory workshop with urban development departments of Quito municipality. Rapid participatory modelling proved effective in introducing hazard modelling to those without previous experience, fostering important discussion around hazard impacts and knowledge gaps, and opening broader planning dialogues across stakeholders, which is a critical first step in decision support and policy development.- Reproduced https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/09562478261423161?_gl=1*xou2k4*_up*MQ..*_ga*MzI4NTE1NDM5LjE 3ODE2MDQ1MTI.*_ga_60R758KFDG*czE3ODE2MDQ1MTEkbzEkZzEkdDE3ODE2MDQ4MzYkajQ2JGwxJGgxNzQ5MDk3OTY2 • Disaster risk reduction, Natural hazards, Participatory modeling risk sensitive planning, Urban development, Urban expansion. 61270 Environment & Urbanization AR 0 0 ddc 0 0 408939 IIPA IIPA 2026-06-16 38(1), Apr, 2026: p.43-65 AR139231 2026-06-16 AR