00863pab a2200169 454500 180718b2003 xxu||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d Rajaraman, Indira Univariate forecasting of state-level agricultural production 2003 p.1800-803. 3 May The drought of 2002 has brought home the critical need for a short-term forecasting model for the agriculture sector at sub-national level, since good and bad agricultural years are not synchronous across states. This paper attempts forecasting through the fitting of univariate ARIMA models to past agricultural outcomes for five states: Punjab, Rajasthan, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, and Uttar Pradesh. - Reproduced. Agricultural production Datta, Arindam Economic and Political Weekly 56331 56331 56331 0 0 0 0 IIPA IIPA 2018-07-19 Volume no: 38, Issue no: 18 AR56776 2018-07-19 2018-07-19 AR