00980pab a2200181 454500008004000000100002200040245006600062260000900128300001600137362001000153520042200163650002800585700001900613773003400632909001000666999001700676952010500693180718b2003   xxu||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d  aRajaraman, Indira  aUnivariate forecasting of state-level agricultural production  c2003  ap.1800-803.  a3 May  aThe drought of 2002 has brought home the critical need for a short-term forecasting model for the agriculture sector at sub-national level, since good and bad agricultural years are not synchronous across states. This paper attempts forecasting through the fitting of univariate ARIMA models to past agricultural outcomes for five states: Punjab, Rajasthan, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, and Uttar Pradesh. - Reproduced.  aAgricultural production  aDatta, Arindam  aEconomic and Political Weekly  a56331  c56331d56331  00104070aIIPAbIIPAd2018-07-19hVolume no: 38, Issue no: 18pAR56776r2018-07-19w2018-07-19yAR