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Price discovery in agricultural commodities markets for India: A case of cotton

By: Kabi, R., Panda, P. and Chari, L.
Material type: materialTypeLabelBookPublisher: Management and Labour Studies Description: 48(4), Nov, 2023: p.478-496. In: Management and Labour StudiesSummary: This study applies vector autoregression to capture the relationships among inflation, cotton spot and futures price. Further, the autoregressive distributed lag model has been applied to capture the impact of rainfall on the cotton spot and futures price. The result of this study reveals that cotton spot price positively impacts cotton futures, while rainfall negatively impacts the price of cotton futures. There is no impact of inflation on cotton spot and futures markets. Due to the sensitivity of crops to rainfall, the monsoon plays a vital role in price discovery in the agricultural market. Similarly, inflation is another significant issue linked to agricultural prices. Further, any movement in futures prices driven by the speculative activity of traders in the commodity derivatives does not contribute to changes in the spot prices. – Reproduced https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/0258042X231158408
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Articles Articles Indian Institute of Public Administration
48(4), Nov, 2023: p.478-496 Available AR130430

This study applies vector autoregression to capture the relationships among inflation, cotton spot and futures price. Further, the autoregressive distributed lag model has been applied to capture the impact of rainfall on the cotton spot and futures price. The result of this study reveals that cotton spot price positively impacts cotton futures, while rainfall negatively impacts the price of cotton futures. There is no impact of inflation on cotton spot and futures markets. Due to the sensitivity of crops to rainfall, the monsoon plays a vital role in price discovery in the agricultural market. Similarly, inflation is another significant issue linked to agricultural prices. Further, any movement in futures prices driven by the speculative activity of traders in the commodity derivatives does not contribute to changes in the spot prices. – Reproduced

https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/0258042X231158408

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