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Monetary policy in sudden stop-prone economies

By: Coulibaly, Louphou.
Material type: materialTypeLabelBookPublisher: American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics Description: 15(4), Oct, 2023: p.104-140. In: American Economic Journal: MacroeconomicsSummary: This paper proposes a parsimonious theory explaining the cyclicality of monetary policy in emerging countries in a model where access to foreign financing depends on the real exchange rate and the government lacks commitment. The discretionary monetary policy is procyclical to mitigate balance sheet effects originating from exchange rate depreciations during sudden stops. Committing to an inflation targeting regime is found to increase social welfare and reduce the frequency of financial crises despite increasing their severity. Finally, the ability to use capital controls induces a less procyclical discretionary monetary policy and delivers higher welfare gains than an inflation targeting regime. – Reproduced https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/mac.20200201
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Item type Current location Call number Vol info Status Date due Barcode
Articles Articles Indian Institute of Public Administration
15(4), Oct, 2023: p.104-140 Available AR130920
Articles Articles Indian Institute of Public Administration
15(4), Oct, 2023: p.141-176 Available AR130921

This paper proposes a parsimonious theory explaining the cyclicality of monetary policy in emerging countries in a model where access to foreign financing depends on the real exchange rate and the government lacks commitment. The discretionary monetary policy is procyclical to mitigate balance sheet effects originating from exchange rate depreciations during sudden stops. Committing to an inflation targeting regime is found to increase social welfare and reduce the frequency of financial crises despite increasing their severity. Finally, the ability to use capital controls induces a less procyclical discretionary monetary policy and delivers higher welfare gains than an inflation targeting regime. – Reproduced

https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/mac.20200201

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