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An economist's guide to epidemiology models of infectious disease

By: Avery, Christopher. et al.
Material type: materialTypeLabelBookPublisher: The Journal of Economic Perspectives Description: 34(4), Fall, 2020: p.79-104.Subject(s): Disease transmission, COVID pandemic In: The Journal of Economic PerspectivesSummary: We describe the structure and use of epidemiology models of disease transmission, with an emphasis on the susceptible/infected/recovered (SIR) model. We discuss high-profile forecasts of cases and deaths that have been based on these models, what went wrong with the early forecasts, and how they have adapted to the current COVID pandemic. We also offer three distinct areas where economists would be well positioned to contribute to or inform this epidemiology literature: modeling heterogeneity of susceptible populations in various dimensions, accommodating endogeneity of the parameters governing disease spread, and helping to understand the importance of political economy issues in disease suppression. – Reproduced
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Articles Articles Indian Institute of Public Administration
34(4), Fall, 2020: p.79-104 Available AR124804

We describe the structure and use of epidemiology models of disease transmission, with an emphasis on the susceptible/infected/recovered (SIR) model. We discuss high-profile forecasts of cases and deaths that have been based on these models, what went wrong with the early forecasts, and how they have adapted to the current COVID pandemic. We also offer three distinct areas where economists would be well positioned to contribute to or inform this epidemiology literature: modeling heterogeneity of susceptible populations in various dimensions, accommodating endogeneity of the parameters governing disease spread, and helping to understand the importance of political economy issues in disease suppression. – Reproduced

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