000			01516pab a2200169 454500
008			180718b1998 xxu||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
100			_aGasiorowski, Mark J.
245			_aThe structural determinants of democratic consolidation: evidence from the Third World
260			_c1998
300			_ap.740-71
362			_aDec
520			_aDemocratic consolidation is the process by which a newly established democratic regime becomes sufficiently durable that a return to non democratic rule is no longer likely. The authors examine a wide range of structural factors that may affect democratic consolidation in Third World countries, using three indicators of consolidation and multivariate statistical techniques. The authors' main finding is that development-related socio-economic factors, the contagion effect of democratic neighbors, and high inflation each strongly affect the likelihood of consolidation, although the latter was significant only in the early part of the period studied. Several other factors have no apparent effect, including several measures dealing with political culture and the design of democratic institutions. These three factors together strongly predict which Third World democracies achieve consolidation, suggesting that the process-centric literature on democratic consolidation has paid inadequate attention to the effects of structural factors. - Reproduced
650			_aDemocracy
700			_aPower, Timothy J.
773			_aComparative Political Studies
909			_a40674
999			_c40674 _d40674