000			01099pab a2200157 454500
008			180718b2001 xxu||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
100			_aMurphy, Sarah J. et al.
245			_aSeasonal forcasting for climate hazards: prospects and responses
260			_c2001
300			_ap.171-96
362			_aMar
520			_aOne of the most promising developments for early warning of climate hazards is seasonal climate forecasting. Already forecasts are operational in many parts of the tropics and sub-tropics, particularly for droughts and floods associated with ENSO events. Prospects for further development of seasonal forecasting for a range of climatic hazards are reviewed, illustrated with case studies in Africa, Australia, the U.S.A. and Europe. A critical evaluation of the utility of seasonal forecasts centres on vulnerability, communication channels, and effective responses. In contrast to short-term prediction, seasonal forecasts raise new issues of preparedness and the use of information. - Reproduced
650			_aClimatic change
773			_aNatural Hazards
909			_a48957
999			_c48957 _d48957