000 02009nam a22001577a 4500
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100 _aHuang, M. and Pape, A. D.
_924156
245 _aThe impact of online consumer reviews on online sales: The case-based decision theory approach
260 _aJournal of Consumer Policy
300 _a43(3). Sep, 2020: p.4463-490
520 _aIn this paper, we conduct a two-stage study to examine whether and how consumer reviews influence other consumers. In the first stage, we utilize a difference-in-difference specification to identify the causal effect of online reviews on sales and apply the proposed model to electronic appliances on a large Chinese retail website. In the second stage, we design a computational model with agents guided by case-based decision theory and we calibrate the simulated market to the real data. The literature identifies two channels for the effect of reviews on sales: the awareness effect and the persuasive effect. We find evidence for both effects, but we find the persuasive effect is slightly larger than the awareness effect. This suggests that consumers who have had a bad experience should not hesitate to leave bad reviews. We also find evidence that consumers are concerned whether reviews are genuine, but that the method used by this website of tying a “user grade” to volume of previous purchases may be an effective way of communicating whether a reviewer is a genuine customer. We use the computational model to predict unobserved consumer behavior: consumers’ loyalty. We find the loyalty of artificial consumers is relatively high but falls. We also believe the case-based decision theory simulation approach may help estimate other unobserved consumer behaviors. – Reproduced
650 _aCase-based decision theory, Word-of-mouth, Online shopping, Online consumer reviews, Loyalty
_922018
773 _aJournal of Consumer Policy
906 _aELECTRONIC COMMERCE - ECONOMIC ASPECTS
942 _cAR