000 01283nam a22001577a 4500
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100 _aBiswas, Siddhartha, Hanson, Andrew and Phan, Toan
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245 _aBubbly Recessions
260 _aAmerican Economic Journal Macroeconomics
300 _a12(4), Oct, 2020: p.33-70
520 _aWe develop a tractable bubbles model with financial friction and downward wage rigidity. Competitive speculation in risky bubbles can result in excessive investment booms that precede inefficient busts, where post- bubble aggregate economic activities collapse below the pre-bubble trend. Risky bubbles can reduce ex ante social welfare, and leaning-against-the-bubble policies that balance the boom-bust trade-off can be warranted. We further show that the collapse of a bubble can push the economy into a "secular stagnation" equilibrium, where the zero lower bound and the nominal wage rigidity constraint bind, leading to a persistent recession, such as the Japanese "lost decades."- Reproduced
650 _aEmployment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational income distribution; Aggregate human capital; Aggregate labor productivity
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773 _aAmerican Economic Journal Macroeconomics
906 _aWAGES
942 _cAR