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100 _aJaroctinski, Marek and Karadi, Peter
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245 _aDeconstructing monetary policy surprises: The role of information shocks
260 _aAmerican Economic Journal Macroeconomic
300 _a12(2), Apr, 2020: p.1-43
520 _aCentral bank announcements simultaneously convey information about monetary policy and the central bank's assessment of the economic outlook. This paper disentangles these two components and studies their effect on the economy using a structural vector autoregression. It relies on the information inherent in high-frequency co-movement of interest rates and stock prices around policy announcements: a surprise policy tightening raises interest rates and reduces stock prices, while the complementary positive central bank information shock raises both. These two shocks have intuitive and very different effects on the economy. Ignoring the central bank information shocks biases the inference on monetary policy nonneutrality. – Reproduced
650 _aInterest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, Financial market
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773 _aAmerican Economic Journal Macroeconomic
906 _aMONETARY POLICY
942 _cAR