000 01084nam a22001457a 4500
999 _c517365
_d517365
008 210710b ||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
100 _aBasak, Deepal and Deb, Joyee
_926428
245 _aGambling over public opinion
260 _aThe American Economic Review
300 _a110(11), Nov, 2020: p.3492-3521
520 _aWe consider bargaining environments in which public opinion provides leverage by making compromises costly. Two parties make initial demands, before knowing the public opinion. If deadlocked, they can bargain again after public opinion forms, but suffer reputation costs if they compromise, i.e., scale back their demands. We show that in equilibrium, parties may choose to make incompatible demands initially and gamble over public opinion even though one or both parties must bear a cost later. We characterize when deadlocks arise, and how this affects the welfare of the public in a representative two-party democracy compared to a direct democracy. - Reproduced
773 _aThe American Economic Review
906 _aPUBLIC OPINION
942 _cAR