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100 _aBrodeur, A., Cook, N. and Heyes, A.
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245 _aMethods matter: P-hacking and publication bias in causal analysis in economics
260 _aThe American Economic Review
300 _a110(11), Nov, 2020: p.3634-3660
520 _aThe credibility revolution in economics has promoted causal identification using randomized control trials (RCT), difference-in-differences (DID), instrumental variables (IV) and regression discontinuity design (RDD). Applying multiple approaches to over 21,000 hypothesis tests published in 25 leading economics journals, we find that the extent of p-hacking and publication bias varies greatly by method. IV (and to a lesser extent DID) are particularly problematic. We find no evidence that (i) papers published in the Top 5 journals are different to others; (ii) the journal "revise and resubmit" process mitigates the problem; (iii) things are improving through time. Reproduced
773 _aThe American Economic Review
906 _aECONOMICS
942 _cAR