000			01269nam a22001577a 4500
999			_c517525 _d517525
008			210719b ||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
100			_aAvery, Christopher. et al _926749
245			_aAn economist's guide to epidemiology models of infectious disease
260			_aThe Journal of Economic Perspectives
300			_a34(4), Fall, 2020: p.79-104
520			_aWe describe the structure and use of epidemiology models of disease transmission, with an emphasis on the susceptible/infected/recovered (SIR) model. We discuss high-profile forecasts of cases and deaths that have been based on these models, what went wrong with the early forecasts, and how they have adapted to the current COVID pandemic. We also offer three distinct areas where economists would be well positioned to contribute to or inform this epidemiology literature: modeling heterogeneity of susceptible populations in various dimensions, accommodating endogeneity of the parameters governing disease spread, and helping to understand the importance of political economy issues in disease suppression. – Reproduced
650			_aDisease transmission, COVID pandemic _926750
773			_aThe Journal of Economic Perspectives
906			_aCOVID-19 (DISEASE) - ECONOMIC ASPECTS
942			_cAR