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100 _aEliaz, Kfir and Spiegler, Ran
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245 _aA model of competing narratives
260 _aThe American Economic Review
300 _a110(12), Dec, 2020: p.3786-3816
520 _aWe formalize the argument that political disagreements can be traced to a "clash of narratives." Drawing on the "Bayesian Networks" literature, we represent a narrative by a causal model that maps actions into consequences, weaving a selection of other random variables into the story. Narratives generate beliefs by interpreting long-run correlations between these variables. An equilibrium is defined as a probability distribution over narrative-policy pairs that maximize a representative agent's anticipatory utility, capturing the idea that people are drawn to hopeful narratives. Our equilibrium analysis sheds light on the structure of prevailing narratives, the variables they involve, the policies they sustain, and their contribution to political polarization. – Reproduced
650 _aPolitical Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, Voting behavior, Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
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773 _aThe American Economic Review
906 _aELECTIONS
942 _cAR