000 01713nam a22001577a 4500
999 _c520515
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008 220919b ||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
100 _aPatnaik, Anuradha
_934412
245 _aMeasuring demand and supply shocks from Covid-19: An industry-level analysis for India
260 _aMargin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research
300 _a16(1), Feb, 2022: p.76-105
520 _aThe present article attempts to decompose the COVID-19-induced shock to output and inflation of the Indian economy at the aggregate and disaggregate levels into demand and supply shocks for the period March 2020 to June 2020, using a structural Bayesian VAR model following Baumeister and Hamilton (2015, 2019). The results of the empirical analysis reveal that while the negative supply shocks dominate at the aggregate and disaggregate levels, their magnitude varies across industries. Demand shocks to output were positive in some industries like the manufacture of food products (10), textiles (13), chemicals and chemical products (20), and electrical equipment (27), but were outweighed by the negative supply shocks. In response to the COVID-19 shock the government announced the three pronged Atmanirbhar Bharat Abhiyan (ABA), which is a blend of demand management, supply management and structural policies. It not only promises to address the short-term distress caused to the industries due to the COVID-19 shock but also attempts to make them self-reliant and resilient to such shocks in future. – Reproduced
650 _aBayesian VAR, Inflation, Output gap, Demand shock, Supply shock.
_933221
773 _aMargin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research
906 _aDEMAND AND SUPPLY
942 _cAR