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100 _aCaballero, Ricardo J. and Simsek, Alp
_934701
245 _aMonetary policy with opinionated markets
260 _aThe American Economic Review
300 _a112(7), Jul, 2022: p.2353-2392
520 _aWe build a model in which the Fed and the market disagree about future aggregate demand. The market anticipates monetary policy "mistakes," which affect current demand and induce the Fed to partially accommodate the market's view. The Fed expects to implement its view gradually. Announcements that reveal an unexpected change in the Fed's belief provide a microfoundation for monetary policy shocks. Tantrum shocks arise when the market misinterprets the Fed's belief and overreacts to its announcement. Uncertainty about tantrums motivates further gradualism and communication. Finally, disagreements affect the market's expected inflation and induce a policy trade-off similar to "cost-push" shocks. – Reproduced
773 _aThe American Economic Review
906 _aMONETARY POLICY
942 _cAR