000 01226nam a22001457a 4500
999 _c525274
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008 240220b ||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
100 _aRobson, Arthur Samuelson, Larry and Steiner, Jakub
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245 _aDecision theory and stochastic growth
260 _aThe American Economic Review: Insights
300 _a5(3), Sep, 2023: p.357-376
520 _aThis paper examines connections between stochastic growth and decision problems. We use tools from the theory of large deviations to show that wishful thinking decision problems are equivalent to utility maximization problems, both of which are equivalent to growth maximization under idiosyncratic risk. Rational inattention problems are equivalent to growth-optimal portfolio problems, both of which are equivalent to growth maximization under aggregate risk. Stochastic growth generates extreme inequality, with nearly all wealth eventually held by those who happen to have faced empirical distributions that match the solution to the wishful thinking or rational inattention problem.- Reproduced https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/aeri.20220456
773 _aThe American Economic Review: Insights
906 _aDECISION MAKING
942 _cAR