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100 _aChoi, J., Kuziemko, I. Washington, E. and Wright, G.
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245 _aLocal economic and political effects of trade deals: Evidence from NAFTA
260 _aThe American Economic Review
300 _a114(6), Jun, 2024: p. 1540-1575
520 _aWhy have white, less-educated voters left the Democratic Party? We highlight the role of the 1994 North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). In event-study analysis, we demonstrate that counties whose 1990 employment depended on industries vulnerable to NAFTA suffered large and persistent employment losses after its implementation. Voters in these counties (and protectionist voters regardless of geography) turned away from the party of President Clinton, who promoted the agreement. This shift is larger for whites (especially men and those without a college degree) and social conservatives, suggesting that racial identity and social-issue positions mediate reactions to economic policies.- Reproduced https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/aer.20220425
773 _aThe American Economic Review
906 _aINTERNATIONAL TRADE
942 _cAR