000 01871nam a22001457a 4500
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100 _aGupta, Nikkita and Kannan, Elumalai
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245 _aAgricultural growth and crop diversification in India: A state-level analysis
260 _aJournal of Social and Economic Development
300 _a26(3), Dec, 2024: p.709-733
520 _aThis paper focuses on trend in India’s agricultural growth estimated based on structural breaks in agricultural GDP from 1981–82 to 2019–20, using Bai–Perron multiple breakpoint method. The paper also examines the relationship between agricultural growth and crop diversification. At the national level, five structural breaks in agricultural GDP were identified: 1987–88, 1992–93, 1997–98, 2003–04, and 2011–12. At the state level, structural break points occurred at different time periods indicating the effect of state-specific policy changes or occurrence of extreme climatic events. The southern, western, and central regions have highly diversified cropping pattern, whereas eastern and northern regions follow a specialised cropping pattern. Panel instrumental variable regression results show that crop diversification has a positive and statistically significant effect on agricultural output controlling for effects of other variables such as gross terms of trade, irrigation, cropping intensity, public capital expenditure, fertiliser use and labour. The study results have policy implications for promoting crop diversification that holds the key to sustain agricultural growth in the long run.- Reproduced https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40847-023-00311-7
650 _aAgricultural growth, Crop diversification, Structural break analysis, India.
_950430
773 _aJournal of Social and Economic Development
942 _cAR