000			00863pab a2200169 454500
008			180718b2003 xxu||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
100			_aRajaraman, Indira
245			_aUnivariate forecasting of state-level agricultural production
260			_c2003
300			_ap.1800-803.
362			_a3 May
520			_aThe drought of 2002 has brought home the critical need for a short-term forecasting model for the agriculture sector at sub-national level, since good and bad agricultural years are not synchronous across states. This paper attempts forecasting through the fitting of univariate ARIMA models to past agricultural outcomes for five states: Punjab, Rajasthan, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, and Uttar Pradesh. - Reproduced.
650			_aAgricultural production
700			_aDatta, Arindam
773			_aEconomic and Political Weekly
909			_a56331
999			_c56331 _d56331