000 01407pab a2200157 454500
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100 _aGoyal, Rajan
245 _aDoes higher fiscal deficit lead to rise in interest rates?: an empirical investigation
260 _c2004
300 _ap.2128-133.
362 _a22 May
520 _aThe relationship between fiscal deficit and the rate of interest is still an unsettled issue. Theoretically, at least in neo-classical sense, funding of government requirements through market borrowings would not only induce rise in interest rates, but the increased funding cost in turn would also contribute to the rise in fiscal deficit. In the Indian context, the coexistence of falling interest rates and growing size of fiscal deficit in the recent years, however, seems to suggest that the causation between the two does no hold. Further, there is empirical evidence suggesting one-way causality running only from real interest rate to fiscal deficit. This paper re-examines this issue and argues that the absence of an apparent fiscal impact on interest rate is essentially the result of higher liquidity in the system. Empirical results drawn through a VAR model show that there is a two-way causality between gross fiscal deficit and the real interest rate. -Reproduced.
650 _aInterest rates
773 _aEconomic and Political Weekly
909 _a60570
999 _c60570
_d60570