000 01292pab a2200181 454500
008 180718b2004 xxu||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
100 _aBeetsma, Roel M.W.J.
245 _aReconcilling stability and growth: smart pacts and structural reforms
260 _c2004
300 _ap.431-56.
520 _aThis paper analyzes the decision by a government facing electoral uncertainty to implement structural reforms in the presence of fiscal restraints similar to the Stability and Growth Pact. To the extent that the reform package entails budgetary costs, the model shows that a fiscal pact erodes incentives to carry out structural reforms, sacrificing future growth for present stability. Although the pact effectively addresses the deficit bias resulting from electoral uncertainty, the induced reduction in reforms implies ambiguous welfare effects. We conclude that a "smart" (i.e., welfare-improving) pact should take into account the budgetary effects of structural reforms. Our conclusions are consistent with the actual principles guiding the implementation of the Stability and Growth Pact. - Reproduced.
650 _aStructural adjustment
650 _aEconomic growth
650 _aEconomic reform
700 _aDebrun, Xavier
773 _aIMF Staff Papers
909 _a64262
999 _c64262
_d64262