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100 _aCoe, Patrick J.
245 _aThe cost effectiveness of the UK's sovereign debt portfolio
260 _c2005
300 _ap.467-95.
362 _aAug
520 _aThis paper provides a recursive empirical analysis of the scope for cost minimization in public debt management when the debt manager faces a given short-term interest rate dictated by monetary policy as well as risk and market impact constraints. It simulates the `real-time' interest costs of alternative portfolios for UK government debt between April 1985 and March 2000. These portfolios are constructed using forecasts of return spreads based on a recursive modelling procedure. While we find statistically significant evidence of predictability, the interest cost savings are quite small when portfolio shares are constrained to lie within historical bounds. - Reproduced.
650 _aPublic debt - Great Britain
650 _aCost effectiveness - Great Britain
650 _aCost effectiveness
700 _aVahey, Shaun P.
700 _aPesaran, M. Hashem
773 _aOxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
909 _a67014
999 _c67014
_d67014