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A game theoretic analysis for Ladakh standoff, 2020

By: Singh, Sanjay Kumar.
Material type: materialTypeLabelBookPublisher: Journal of Defence Studies Description: 16(1), Jan-Mar, 2022: p.3-18.Subject(s): India–China disputes, Game theory, De-escalation game, Co-operative Nash equilibrium In: Journal of Defence StudiesSummary: A game theoretic analysis for Ladakh standoff is presented in this article. Starting with Prisoner’s Dilemma (PD) game, a more flexible game, known as De-escalation game,1 is derived by incorporating the concepts of retaliation and non-escalation probabilities in the PD game. It is shown that by including these concepts, many new possibilities open up for India, which permit it to impose penalty on the aggressor. The intensity of retaliatory actions may be tailored according to the perceived threat; and this strategy allows India to dissuade the aggressor without risking a war or accepting defeat. Finally, options available to India in the light of game theoretic analysis are presented in the article. – Reproduced
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Articles Articles Indian Institute of Public Administration
16(1), Jan-Mar, 2022: p.3-18 Available AR127112

A game theoretic analysis for Ladakh standoff is presented in this article. Starting with Prisoner’s Dilemma (PD) game, a more flexible game, known as De-escalation game,1 is derived by incorporating the concepts of retaliation and non-escalation probabilities in the PD game. It is shown that by including these concepts, many new possibilities open up for India, which permit it to impose penalty on the aggressor. The intensity of retaliatory actions may be tailored according to the perceived threat; and this strategy allows India to dissuade the aggressor without risking a war or accepting defeat. Finally, options available to India in the light of game theoretic analysis are presented in the article. – Reproduced

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