Murphy, Sarah J. et al.
Seasonal forcasting for climate hazards: prospects and responses - 2001 - p.171-96 - Mar
One of the most promising developments for early warning of climate hazards is seasonal climate forecasting. Already forecasts are operational in many parts of the tropics and sub-tropics, particularly for droughts and floods associated with ENSO events. Prospects for further development of seasonal forecasting for a range of climatic hazards are reviewed, illustrated with case studies in Africa, Australia, the U.S.A. and Europe. A critical evaluation of the utility of seasonal forecasts centres on vulnerability, communication channels, and effective responses. In contrast to short-term prediction, seasonal forecasts raise new issues of preparedness and the use of information. - Reproduced
Climatic change
Seasonal forcasting for climate hazards: prospects and responses - 2001 - p.171-96 - Mar
One of the most promising developments for early warning of climate hazards is seasonal climate forecasting. Already forecasts are operational in many parts of the tropics and sub-tropics, particularly for droughts and floods associated with ENSO events. Prospects for further development of seasonal forecasting for a range of climatic hazards are reviewed, illustrated with case studies in Africa, Australia, the U.S.A. and Europe. A critical evaluation of the utility of seasonal forecasts centres on vulnerability, communication channels, and effective responses. In contrast to short-term prediction, seasonal forecasts raise new issues of preparedness and the use of information. - Reproduced
Climatic change