Seasonal forcasting for climate hazards: prospects and responses
By: Murphy, Sarah J. et al.
Material type:
ArticlePublisher: 2001Description: p.171-96.Subject(s): Climatic change
In:
Natural HazardsSummary: One of the most promising developments for early warning of climate hazards is seasonal climate forecasting. Already forecasts are operational in many parts of the tropics and sub-tropics, particularly for droughts and floods associated with ENSO events. Prospects for further development of seasonal forecasting for a range of climatic hazards are reviewed, illustrated with case studies in Africa, Australia, the U.S.A. and Europe. A critical evaluation of the utility of seasonal forecasts centres on vulnerability, communication channels, and effective responses. In contrast to short-term prediction, seasonal forecasts raise new issues of preparedness and the use of information. - Reproduced
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Articles
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Indian Institute of Public Administration | Volume no: 23, Issue no: 2-3 | Available | AR49385 |
One of the most promising developments for early warning of climate hazards is seasonal climate forecasting. Already forecasts are operational in many parts of the tropics and sub-tropics, particularly for droughts and floods associated with ENSO events. Prospects for further development of seasonal forecasting for a range of climatic hazards are reviewed, illustrated with case studies in Africa, Australia, the U.S.A. and Europe. A critical evaluation of the utility of seasonal forecasts centres on vulnerability, communication channels, and effective responses. In contrast to short-term prediction, seasonal forecasts raise new issues of preparedness and the use of information. - Reproduced
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