| 000 -LEADER |
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| fixed length control field |
01099pab a2200157 454500 |
| 008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION |
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| fixed length control field |
180718b2001 xxu||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d |
| 100 ## - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
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| Personal name |
Murphy, Sarah J. et al. |
| 245 ## - TITLE STATEMENT |
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| Title |
Seasonal forcasting for climate hazards: prospects and responses |
| 260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. |
|---|
| Date of publication, distribution, etc. |
2001 |
| 300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION |
|---|
| Extent |
p.171-96 |
| 362 ## - DATES OF PUBLICATION AND/OR SEQUENTIAL DESIGNATION |
|---|
| Dates of publication and/or sequential designation |
Mar |
| 520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. |
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| Summary, etc. |
One of the most promising developments for early warning of climate hazards is seasonal climate forecasting. Already forecasts are operational in many parts of the tropics and sub-tropics, particularly for droughts and floods associated with ENSO events. Prospects for further development of seasonal forecasting for a range of climatic hazards are reviewed, illustrated with case studies in Africa, Australia, the U.S.A. and Europe. A critical evaluation of the utility of seasonal forecasts centres on vulnerability, communication channels, and effective responses. In contrast to short-term prediction, seasonal forecasts raise new issues of preparedness and the use of information. - Reproduced |
| 650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
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| Topical term or geographic name entry element |
Climatic change |
| 773 ## - HOST ITEM ENTRY |
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| Main entry heading |
Natural Hazards |
| 909 ## - |
|---|
| -- |
48957 |
